After the initial alignment, voters who backed "unviable" candidates have a chance to move to a viable candidate or remain uncommitted. After this second round, the results of the caucus are cemented. Not as many as one would hope! In , which was the second-highest turn-out ever for the Iowa caucuses, fewer than 16 percent of people who were eligible to vote actually caucused, NPR reports.
People at caucuses tend to be the most politically active and engaged supporters, although some experts are predicting a record turnout this year.
In years past, Iowa has only reported what is called the "state delegate equivalents," or SDEs. The SDEs, in essence, are a way of translating the results of the night's precinct winners into an estimate of how many delegates each candidate would get at the state convention. How that's actually figured out is extremely confusing and complicated , but what you need to know is that whatever candidate has the most SDEs at the end of the night is the one who gets declared the "winner.
Because Clinton and Sanders' numbers were excruciatingly close in , the Iowa caucuses will be reporting two additional sets of numbers for the sake of transparency this year. In addition to the final SDE count, we will also learn the statewide totals for the pre-alignment vote.
That number will represent the candidate who got the most votes right out of the starting gate, before the unviable candidates were eliminated and their free-agent voters were made to realign.
The other number we will learn is the statewide post-alignment vote, or which candidate had the most votes after the second round, once all the free-agent voters had picked a new candidate but before that number was "translated" into SDEs. You can read more in depth about the whole process and math behind determining the winner at Vox. Sort of — even though only the SDE total will ultimately "count," there could potentially be quibbling between campaigns over the different sets of numbers, especially if the pre-alignment winner differs from whoever ends up with the most SDEs.
It's very confusing, so much so that even the people who are supposed to be experts on the process don't fully understand it. If I'm following along in another state, when can I expect to start hearing the returns? The first numbers can be expected starting around 8 p. CT; state officials told The Wall Street Journal that they expect the "the bulk of numbers to be reported by 10 p.
After each caucus site is finished voting, their local "county delegates" are divvied up between all the viable candidates based on the proportion of the votes.
The county delegates are what are then weighted to determine the state delegate equivalents. In rare situations, when there are an odd number of delegates and two candidates end up with an equal number of supporters, a coin toss is used to determine which candidate gets the extra delegate. For example, Des Moines Precinct 70 had five delegates to divvy up in , but a deadlock between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. As a result, Clinton and Sanders both earned two delegates while the fifth delegate ultimately went to Clinton after being determined randomly via coin toss.
There was a bit of a conspiracy at the time about Clinton allegedly winning a mathematically improbable number of coin tosses, and reports that the Iowa caucuses hinged on coin tosses alone. Ultimately, even if Clinton had won all of the coin tosses reported that night, the number of delegates would have still been so small it wouldn't have effected the statewide SDE totals.
It depends on the party, but Iowa is a better indicator for Democrats than Republicans. Only vote for the candidate s you support, such as Sarah Klee Hood! It is recommended at caucus to only vote for your candidate, no more. By only voting for your candidate s , you are ensuring your candidates get your vote directly. Only the 3 candidates with most votes will move forward to the general election in November. Pro tip: The general election held in November is the most commonly recognized election and referred to as Election Day.
Yes to both! The caucus is being held outdoors under an open-air tent no sides to accommodate social distancing and allow natural air flow. Traditionally, the Town of DeWitt Caucus lasts less than 90 minutes.
However, please plan and pack accordingly, should the event take an unexpected delay. No delays are planned. Sarah has young children too and usually doesn't have a sitter. Sarah has secured 5 childcare providers to watch all participants' children outdoors on the nearby playground situated less than feet from the caucus tent. The voting process at a Democratic Party caucus is a little more physical and time-consuming, but also a little more exciting.
That process continues until there are only viable candidates left. This video from inside a Iowa caucus will give you a little taste. Depending on the state, delegates are divided based on the caucus results, and sent to the national party convention to vote for their candidate on behalf of their state. Some states, like Iowa for example, start even smaller and select candidates for a county convention, who then select candidates for a state convention, who then finally vote for delegates to the national convention.
If you want to be part of the process, caucuses are a chance for you to put your vote where your mouth is. There are a few things you should know, first:. So get registered and go be the change that you seek. So why all the hoopla? The Des Moines Register explains how previous Iowa caucuses shook out:. Since , the top voter-getter in the Democratic caucuses has gone on to win the nomination in seven of nine contested races, but just Jimmy Carter in and Barack Obama in won the presidency.
Among Republicans since , the winner of the Iowa caucuses has gained the nomination twice in six contested races, but the presidency just once: George W.
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